May 3rd, 2013 by
By Brian Carter
Inventions have long since reached their limit, and I see no hope for further developments. – Roman engineer Julius Sextus Frontinus in 10 A.D
Everything that can be invented has been invented. – Charles H. Duell, Commissioner, U.S. patent office, 1899
Bold pronouncements about the end of innovation have been losing propositions for more than 2000 years. As these “howlers” – and other famous ones – demonstrate, we’ll never reach the end of the technology innovation runway. And smart people will continue to fly even faster, higher and farther thanks to never ending capabilities.
I was reminded of this while reading CorporateTechDecision following the Winter NAMM 2013 (National Association of Music Merchants) trade show.
“The progress demonstrated in capabilities and functionality in mixers, signal processors, networking technologies, and user friendliness were nothing short of astonishing. In the space of 24 months the amount of “horsepower” embedded into the current crop of devices and hardware has expanded exponentially while also adhering to the Moore’s law cost decline equation.
“For anyone dealing with sound reinforcement, live event audio, worship sound, or corporate/hospitality tech support, the latest generation of consoles (mixers) can in many cases be all that you will need to do the job. All of what used to be outboard gear and racks are now on-board and fully integrated into the signal flow and operation.”
It was the “all that you will need to do the job” that got me.
At the Winter NAMM 2015, the industry progress on display will dwarf 2013’s. And 24 months after that 2017’s breakthroughs will far surpass 2015.
Why? Simple. The relentless multi-core multiprocessor progress from Intel and AMD will continue apace, imorivin performance, lowering costs and also lowering barriers to entry; developers will take advantage of the exponentially expanded addressable memory of 64-bit computing to do the same; continually evolving human machine interface and development tools from Microsoft will accelerate success; and complementery third party-party technologies will all combine to make today’s music mixing breakthroughs yesterday’s news.